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We are all more or less successful risk assessors and managers if we are still
alive. Life is intrinsically filled with dangers, real or perceived. Planes may explode
and go down either because of terrorist activities or safety rules violations, a nuclear
power plant may blow up (Chernobyl) or release radioactive clouds (Three Mile
Island), a chemical plant may release toxic gas (Bhopal), or a natural disaster
(hurricane, flood, tornado, volcano, landslide) can strike the area in which we live.
We may get acute food poisoning from either bacterial or chemical contamination,
or we may suffer from chronic diseases that are in part caused by the food choices
we make. Whether we are crossing the street, making investments, deciding what
to eat, how to get from one place to another, choosing our profession, or getting
married, we are making our decisions based on evaluating risks and benefits that a
particular activity or avoidance would bring us. The subject of this book is to improve
our analytical techniques in evaluating dangers and develop skills in confronting
them.
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